C Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. - Ballota nigra L.
C.1 Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.
Figure C.1: Effect of year on the probability of Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.2: The same as C.1, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.3: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.2 Amelanchier lamarckii F.G. Schroeder
Figure C.4: Effect of year on the probability of Amelanchier lamarckii F.G. Schroeder presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.5: The same as C.4, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.6: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Amelanchier lamarckii F.G. Schroeder presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.3 Ammophila arenaria (L.) Link
Figure C.7: Effect of year on the probability of Ammophila arenaria (L.) Link presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.8: The same as C.7, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.9: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Ammophila arenaria (L.) Link presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.4 Anagallis arvensis L.
Figure C.10: Effect of year on the probability of Anagallis arvensis L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.11: The same as C.10, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.12: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Anagallis arvensis L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.5 Anchusa arvensis (L.) Bieb.
Figure C.13: Effect of year on the probability of Anchusa arvensis (L.) Bieb. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.14: The same as C.13, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.15: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Anchusa arvensis (L.) Bieb. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.6 Anemone nemorosa L.
Figure C.16: Effect of year on the probability of Anemone nemorosa L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.17: The same as C.16, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.18: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Anemone nemorosa L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.7 Angelica archangelica L.
Figure C.19: Effect of year on the probability of Angelica archangelica L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.20: The same as C.19, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.21: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Angelica archangelica L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.8 Angelica sylvestris L.
Figure C.22: Effect of year on the probability of Angelica sylvestris L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.23: The same as C.22, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.24: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Angelica sylvestris L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.9 Anthoxanthum odoratum L.
Figure C.25: Effect of year on the probability of Anthoxanthum odoratum L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.26: The same as C.25, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.27: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Anthoxanthum odoratum L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.10 Anthriscus caucalis Bieb.
Figure C.28: Effect of year on the probability of Anthriscus caucalis Bieb. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.29: The same as C.28, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.30: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Anthriscus caucalis Bieb. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.11 Anthriscus sylvestris (L.) Hoffmann
Figure C.31: Effect of year on the probability of Anthriscus sylvestris (L.) Hoffmann presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.32: The same as C.31, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.33: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Anthriscus sylvestris (L.) Hoffmann presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.12 Apera spica-venti (L.) Beauv.
Figure C.34: Effect of year on the probability of Apera spica-venti (L.) Beauv. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.35: The same as C.34, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.36: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Apera spica-venti (L.) Beauv. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.13 Apium nodiflorum (L.) Lag.
Figure C.37: Effect of year on the probability of Apium nodiflorum (L.) Lag. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.38: The same as C.37, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.39: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Apium nodiflorum (L.) Lag. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.14 Arabidopsis thaliana (L.) Heynh.
Figure C.40: Effect of year on the probability of Arabidopsis thaliana (L.) Heynh. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.41: The same as C.40, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.42: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Arabidopsis thaliana (L.) Heynh. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.15 Arctium lappa L.
Figure C.43: Effect of year on the probability of Arctium lappa L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.44: The same as C.43, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.45: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Arctium lappa L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.16 Arctium minus (Hill) Bernh.
Figure C.46: Effect of year on the probability of Arctium minus (Hill) Bernh. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.47: The same as C.46, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.48: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Arctium minus (Hill) Bernh. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.17 Arenaria serpyllifolia L.
Figure C.49: Effect of year on the probability of Arenaria serpyllifolia L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.50: The same as C.49, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.51: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Arenaria serpyllifolia L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.18 Armoracia rusticana Gaertn., B. Mey. et Scherb.
Figure C.52: Effect of year on the probability of Armoracia rusticana Gaertn., B. Mey. et Scherb. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.53: The same as C.52, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.54: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Armoracia rusticana Gaertn., B. Mey. et Scherb. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.19 Arrhenatherum elatius (L.) Beauv. ex J. et C. Presl
Figure C.55: Effect of year on the probability of Arrhenatherum elatius (L.) Beauv. ex J. et C. Presl presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.56: The same as C.55, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.57: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Arrhenatherum elatius (L.) Beauv. ex J. et C. Presl presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.20 Artemisia vulgaris L.
Figure C.58: Effect of year on the probability of Artemisia vulgaris L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.59: The same as C.58, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.60: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Artemisia vulgaris L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.21 Arum italicum Mill.
Figure C.61: Effect of year on the probability of Arum italicum Mill. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.62: The same as C.61, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.63: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Arum italicum Mill. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.22 Arum maculatum L.
Figure C.64: Effect of year on the probability of Arum maculatum L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.65: The same as C.64, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.66: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Arum maculatum L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.23 Asparagus officinalis L.
Figure C.67: Effect of year on the probability of Asparagus officinalis L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.68: The same as C.67, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.69: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Asparagus officinalis L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.24 Asplenium ruta-muraria L.
Figure C.70: Effect of year on the probability of Asplenium ruta-muraria L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.71: The same as C.70, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.72: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Asplenium ruta-muraria L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.25 Asplenium scolopendrium L.
Figure C.73: Effect of year on the probability of Asplenium scolopendrium L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.74: The same as C.73, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.75: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Asplenium scolopendrium L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.26 Asplenium trichomanes L.
Figure C.76: Effect of year on the probability of Asplenium trichomanes L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.77: The same as C.76, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.78: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Asplenium trichomanes L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.27 Aster tripolium L.
Figure C.79: Effect of year on the probability of Aster tripolium L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.80: The same as C.79, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.81: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Aster tripolium L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.28 Athyrium filix-femina (L.) Roth
Figure C.82: Effect of year on the probability of Athyrium filix-femina (L.) Roth presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.83: The same as C.82, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.84: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Athyrium filix-femina (L.) Roth presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.29 Atriplex patula L.
Figure C.85: Effect of year on the probability of Atriplex patula L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.86: The same as C.85, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.87: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Atriplex patula L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.30 Atriplex prostrata Boucher ex DC.
Figure C.88: Effect of year on the probability of Atriplex prostrata Boucher ex DC. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.89: The same as C.88, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.90: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Atriplex prostrata Boucher ex DC. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.31 Avena fatua L.
Figure C.91: Effect of year on the probability of Avena fatua L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.92: The same as C.91, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.93: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Avena fatua L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
C.32 Ballota nigra L.
Figure C.94: Effect of year on the probability of Ballota nigra L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The fitted line shows the sum of the overall mean (the intercept), a conditional effect of list-length equal to 130 and the year-smoother. The vertical dashed lines indicate the year(s) where the year-smoother is zero. The 95% confidence band is shown in grey (including the variability around the intercept and the smoother). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.95: The same as C.94, but the vertical axis is scaled to the range of the predicted values such that relative changes can be seen more easily. a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.
Figure C.96: Visualisation of the spatial smooth effect on the probability of Ballota nigra L. presence in 1 km x 1 km squares where the species has been observed at least once. The probabilities (values on the contour lines) are conditional on the final year of observation and a list-length equal to 130. The dashed contour line demarcates zones where the species is expected to be more prevalent (red shades) from zones where the species is less prevalent (blue shades). a: 1950 - 2018, b: 1990 - 2018.